Posts Tagged ‘rental home market’
While inventories of homes for sale have been shrinking this spring, MLSs are filling the void with rental listings for single family homes that until recently were foreclosures. Some 16.1 percent of all listings on MLSs today are rentals, more than double the number in 2006.
Single family rentals are $3 trillion business today and growing as investors turn to real estate and opt to rent out the bargains they buy until prices improve. Today the single family rental market accounts for 21 million rental units or 52 percent of the entire residential rental market, according to a new study by CoreLogic economist Sam Khater.
Yet the single family rental market is poorly understood and almost invisible to economists and journalists because virtually all rental market data tracks multifamily properties and either ignores the single family segment or lumps it together with multifamily.
“Single family rentals are very distinct from multifamily and they behave very differently,” said Khater in an interview with Real Estate Economy Watch. For example, on a per unit basis, rents for single family rentals run 1.5 to 1.6 times higher than multifamily. Unlike multifamily, millions of single family rentals are listed on MLSs by real estate brokers, many of who represent new owners in acquiring investment properties. As the for-sale inventory has trended down since 2005, the rental share rose 13.3 percent last year alone. As of the end of last year rental closings were up 11.5 percent year-over-year while prices fell 9.8 percent during the year. Demand is strong. The national average months’ supply for single family rentals was 4.5 months in December compared to 6.2 months for homes listed for sale.”
Another important difference is the nature of the tenants. Single family rentals, usually stand-alone properties in ownership settings, appeal more to families. In fact, the typical SFR tenant is a family that has just left a foreclosure and can afford to pay the rent on a former foreclosure but could not make the mortgage payment on their old home, perhaps because they bought with alternative financing or purchased at the peak and could not get a modification when their home lost value. Over the past five years, foreclosures have turned more than 3 million homeowners into renters. Typical multifamily tenants, however, are younger, generally single and more mobile, and have never owned a home.
Khater found a strong relationship between distress sales markets and single family rentals. Census data shows a correlation between single family rentals and the hardest hit areas of the so-called “sand states”-Arizona, California, Florida and Nevada. Investors buying REOs and short sales in foreclosure markets convert them to rental units and homeowners in the same locale who have lost their homes to foreclosure rent homes that until recently were owned by other families who suffered the same ill fortune.
Written by: Steve Cook Mon, April 23, 2012
Bank of America Corp. BAC +1.52% is launching a pilot program that will allow homeowners at risk of foreclosure to hand over deeds to their houses and sign leases that will let them rent the houses back from the bank at a market rate.
While the initial scope of the “Mortgage to Lease” program is small—the bank began sending letters Thursday offering leases to 1,000 homeowners in Arizona, Nevada and New York—it represents a big change in the way banks deal with borrowers who can’t afford their mortgages.
The new approach is unlikely to be expanded unless banks conclude that avoiding eviction reduces costs associated with taking back, maintaining and reselling properties. If a significant number of borrowers are willing and able to rent the homes, Bank of America could ultimately sell the properties to investors that agree to keep them as rentals.
Already, in a growing number of housing markets, investors are buying foreclosures and converting them into rentals, often filling them with families that have gone through foreclosure.
Executives last year began to ask themselves “isn’t there a way to sort of combine that whole process and keep the borrower in the property? It’s just better for the market,” said Ron Sturzenegger, the Bank of America executive who last summer was put in charge of the unit that handles troubled mortgages.
Bank of America became the nation’s largest mortgage originator after its 2008 purchase of Countrywide Financial Corp., but over the past year it has retreated from the mortgage market. The initial pilot is limited to loans that Bank of America holds on its books. Homeowners can’t apply for the program—only those who receive letters from the bank can participate.
Borrowers would agree to a what is known as a “deed-in-lieu” of foreclosure, where they essentially sign over ownership of the property to the lender. This is less costly to the bank and also does less damage to a borrower’s credit than a foreclosure. Borrowers selected for the program must be at least two months past due on their mortgage and face considerable risk of foreclosure.
In exchange, former owners would be offered one-year leases with options to renew the leases in each of the following two years at rents that the bank determines are at or below the current market price. Borrowers would have to demonstrate an ability to pay the market rent.
For example, based on a sampling of home values and rental rates in Phoenix recently, a consumer with a $250,000 mortgage and monthly payments of $1,600 could swap the house for a lease, renting the home for $900, depending on the condition of the property and the neighborhood.
Consumer advocates and some investors have long called for less disruptive alternatives to foreclosures, given the limits of loan-modification programs. “You still have a lot of people that are facing foreclosures, and this is a way to keep people in their homes that is obviously much better,” says Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic Policy and Research.
Foreclosures, particularly if properties are vacant, can drag down housing values in a neighborhood.
Borrowers selected for the program must be at least two months past due on their mortgage and face considerable risk of foreclosure. Bank of America is reaching out to borrowers who have exhausted other alternatives to foreclosure or who haven’t responded to earlier solicitations. Homeowners with second mortgages or other liens won’t be selected.
Mr. Sturzenegger said the success of the current pilot would determine whether Bank of America expands the effort. “We’re optimistic but realistic. If we get a great takeup rate and the process works, we’ll roll it out,” he said.
The program is the latest example of how banks are experimenting with ways to deal with a large overhang of foreclosed properties. Some lenders have begun offering incentive payments of up to $30,000 to borrowers who agree to short sales.
Fannie Mae rolled out a “deed-for-lease” program in late 2009 but it hasn’t been widely used. Some industry analysts say that banks haven’t aggressively marketed the initiative.
Already, investors have approached Mr. Sturzenegger about purchasing pools of leased properties from Bank of America. One of those investors is Laurie Hawkes, president of American Residential Properties, a Scottsdale, Ariz.-based firm that has bought nearly 800 homes in the Phoenix area as rentals. If homes are realistically priced, Ms. Hawkes says her firm would “definitely” be interested in buying them.
Foreclosures have slowed sharply in some states amid heavy scrutiny of allegedly forged paperwork used by processing firms. Banks completed 860,000 foreclosures last year, down from 1.1 million in 2010, according to CoreLogic Inc.
“One of the outcomes of the ‘robo-signing’ scandal is that it is more difficult to foreclose,” said Mr. Baker. “It’s more worthwhile for banks to pursue alternatives.”
Write to Nick Timiraos at nick.timiraos@wsj.com
By Motoko Rich, New York Times News Service
The housing market remains a potent drag on the economy as home prices continue to slip, foreclosed homes fill some neighborhoods, and millions of construction workers scramble for jobs.
But one group is sitting pretty: landlords.
Unlike home prices, rents have been rising, up 2.4 percent in January from a year earlier, according to recent data, not adjusted for inflation, released by the Labor Department.
With few rental buildings erected over the past few years, available units are going fast. Nationwide, the apartment vacancy rate is down to 5.2 percent, its lowest level in more than a decade, according to the research firm Reis Inc.
Rent increases are greatest in places like San Francisco; Austin, Texas; and Boston, where technology companies in particular are hiring, as well as in New York City and Washington, D.C. But cities like Chicago and Seattle, where house prices are still declining quite sharply, have had rental increases, too.
“We are more of a renter nation than we have been for a while,” said Christopher J. Mayer, a professor of real estate at the Columbia University Business School.
Economists suggest favorable conditions for landlords will continue for at least a year, with employment gradually rising and apartment construction remaining constrained.
As job growth has begun to accelerate in recent months, young people are starting to move out of their parents’ homes or away from shared rooms and into their own rentals. Families who might previously have bought homes are also staying in rentals longer. They may be waiting for the housing market to hit bottom or finding it difficult to qualify for a mortgage.
Many others remain uncertain about their job prospects and wary of the obligations of ownership after the housing bust.
When Charles Griffith moved with his wife and two children to Orlando, Fla., last fall, they chose a new two-bedroom apartment for $1,140 a month. They left a four-bedroom, 2-1/2-bath house they had bought a decade ago in Antioch, Calif. His brother-in-law has moved in and taken over the mortgage payments.
Griffith, who works as a supervisor for Southwest Airlines, and his wife, a customer service representative for the airline, are enjoying the flexibility and convenience of renting, as well as amenities like a pool.
“We kind of like the situation now of not having to be under so much pressure,” said Griffith, 40, adding that the family may eventually buy in Orlando. But “with the economy and the airline industry, that factors into us thinking maybe we should hold off for a while.”
The home ownership rate has been falling from its peak of 69.4 percent in 2004, according to census data. By the fourth quarter of 2011, it was down to 66 percent. That means about 2 million more households are renting, said Kenneth Rosen, an economist and professor of real estate at the Haas School of Business at the University of California, Berkeley.
Not all those people are choosing apartments, of course. Some are moving into single-family homes left vacant by foreclosures. Eager to capitalize on the trend, investors are scooping up some houses at a deep discount and leasing them to tenants who have lost their own homes.
Several prominent hedge funds and private equity firms have recently announced plans to invest in distressed properties and convert them to rentals. And earlier this month, the government solicited applications from investors interested in buying pools of foreclosed properties held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as the Federal Housing Administration.
Investors could help the market by turning empty houses into rentals, said Diane Swonk, an economist at Mesirow Financial in Chicago.
“It can make the difference between a neighborhood being literally like Detroit — dead forever — or a neighborhood that has another chance at life,” she said.
Still, it is apartments, not houses, that are in the most rental demand.
Although many families crushed by the recession have doubled up and plenty of underemployed 20-somethings are living with their parents, some young people are finally getting their own space. Nearly 60 percent of job gains in the past two years have gone to people who are 20-34, a crucial rental group, according to an analysis of Labor Department data by G. Ronald Witten, a consultant to apartment companies.
During the economic downturn, apartment developers retrenched. The number of new apartments completed fell from 284,200 in 2006 to less than half that number in 2011, according to census data.
The limited supply is pushing up prices in some markets. In San Francisco, rents jumped close to 5 percent last year, according to Reis, and increases averaged 3 percent in Austin and New York. Landlords have also been withdrawing incentives like a free month’s rent.
Liz Brent and Matt Mochizuki moved into a studio apartment a year ago in the Mission District in San Francisco for $1,395 a month. Now they want more space.
Brent, 26, makes costumes and is working as a barista at a cafe where customers leave big tips. Mochizuki, 27, has a steady job with a metal fabricating studio. They are budgeting $1,800 a month in rent.
But at an open house for an apartment billed as a one bedroom, they found a studio with an awkward layout and bad light. More than 40 people were in line, many ready to hand over a check.
“That’s what the market is like now,” Brent said of her fruitless search. “That’s how many people showed up for this tiny apartment with no windows.”
A few metropolitan areas are experiencing a much softer rental market. In Atlanta, owners of vacant condos are lowering rents to attract tenants, and in Las Vegas, homes are taking six weeks to lease and rents are still well below their peaks, said C. Terry Robertson, broker of Desert Realty.
Orlando might seem an unlikely place for rental strength. The unemployment rate, at 9.7 percent, is higher than the national average, and home prices slipped 4.6 percent last year, according to the Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller home price index.
Yet Ric Campo, chief executive of Camden Properties, a real estate investment trust that owns apartment buildings, said rental business was brisk at its LaVina development. Since the office for the 420-unit complex opened last summer, more than half the apartments have rented.
That’s “a faster rate than we’ve ever seen in Orlando,” Campo said. The company has raised the base rent on a two-bedroom apartment to $1,080, from $995 a month.
Many are left to wonder whether the housing collapse has had a more profound effect.
“I think it’s going to be interesting to see whether there’s been a fundamental sociological shift in that 20-35 year old cohort, where they literally say ‘this American dream just doesn’t work for me,”’ said Brad Forrester, chief executive of the ConAm Group, which manages about 50,000 apartments in the western United States.
Matt Byford, a 24-year-old litigation consultant in Chicago, is certainly in no hurry to buy. He has been renting in the Lincoln Park neighborhood since his college days.
Given the low purchase prices and record low interest rates, Byford acknowledges that the financial scale probably tips more toward buying than renting. “Since I can pretty much assume with confidence that it’s not going to go anywhere,” he said, “I don’t necessarily have a sense of urgency.”
By Lou Carlozo
Wed Feb 15, 2012 12:05pm EST
(Reuters) – Rich Arzaga owns a luxury home in San Ramon, California, but he’s not betting on it as an investment.
The founder and CEO of Cornerstone Wealth Management, who bought the 5,000 sq. ft. property in 2005 for $1.8 million and has spent $500,000 improving it, considers the abode a wonderful place for his family. But ask him to rate his home — or any home, for that matter — as a financial investment, and Arzaga balks.
“It’s the American Dream to own a home, but whoever said that didn’t do the analysis on it,” says Arzaga, knowing he’s taking a contrarian stance to conventional wisdom.
Examining 250 properties around the U.S., and going through close to 40 client files to project the financial impact of owning real estate versus liquidating it, Arzaga, an adjunct professor in personal finance at the University of California at Berkeley, found that, “100 percent of the time it was better to rent, rather than own.”
That’s right: 100 percent.
The reason is simple. While a home is the main repository of wealth for many Americans, it comes with numerous hefty expenses. The carrying costs – what’s needed to hold and maintain the asset – range from property taxes and home insurance to emergency repairs and renovations. In a rental situation, the landlord covers those costs, leaving the occupant free to invest revenue in other areas.
“I don’t have the emotions a lot of people do surrounding real estate,” Arzaga says. “I have steely eyes for how investing in real estate works, and I’d better be a prudent investor for my clients.”
Owning a dream home, he says, creates a drain on other financial priorities, causing homeowners “not to meet their financial goals. They were going to fail.”
Some real estate experts thought there was some truth to Arzaga’s argument, albeit with several conditions.
“To state that owning a home is or isn’t a good investment is too simplistic,” says Jeffrey Rogers, president and COO of Integra Realty Resources. “It depends. In times of relatively higher rents, low home values, and low interest rates, it makes sense to own a home. But in a reverse market, it wouldn’t be economically feasible. Over time, those who purchase in down or flat markets with low interest rates come out ahead.”
“Our lifetimes are a long time, and when we look over the long term, real estate and other investments tend to have a positive return,” says Jed Kolko, chief economist at Trulia.com,
a real estate search and research website. “But when it comes to real estate, changing your mind is expensive. There are a lot of costs involved in buying, selling and moving. If you move every two years, it’s probably a bad investment for you. It also depends on your job market. If you’re in a one-company town and the company goes down, there goes your job and there goes your home value.”
Greg McBride, a senior analyst at Bankrate.com, agrees with one point of Arzaga’s. “Home ownership is not so much a creator of wealth as a store of wealth,” he says. “The promise of home ownership is that over the long haul, it can rebate many or perhaps all of your costs, unlike rent, which doesn’t rebate a dime.”
The trouble, he says, is that many Americans want a home so badly, they neglect other ways to grow wealth and financial security.
“You have the other financial bases covered: emergency savings, retirement savings, paying off debt, saving for the education of your children,” McBride says. “There’s no sense in buying a home if it’s going to deplete your emergency or retirement savings.”
McBride crunched the numbers in a pre-bubble era (2004) for a home purchased at $200,000 by a buyer in the 27 percent marginal tax bracket. Factoring in a 30-year mortgage, $1,200 in annual home insurance, closing costs of $5,500 and maintenance costs of $100 a month, along with property taxes, he calculated that it would take a selling price, 10 years later, of $395,404 just to break even. His conclusion gave Arzaga’s view credence: “Homeownership may not be the moneymaker you think it is.” (See the full chart at link.reuters.com/hej66s)
Then there’s the emergency fund, a must for when a home requires unexpected repair work.
“As far as emergency savings is concerned, six months of a cushion is adequate,” McBride says. “But only 24 percent of people have that kind of cushion, and about 65 percent own homes.”
So while home ownership may sound glamorous, you need a lot of money to make it work, without much guarantee of positive returns in a post-bubble era. Indeed, Arzaga cites himself as an example of how home ownership doesn’t pay off. His residence is today worth $1.5 million, about 17 percent less than what he paid.
So why not sell? For Arzaga, it’s a lifestyle choice, and one that he doesn’t regret, since his big money-making investments are elsewhere.
(Editing by Bernadette Baum, Beth Pinsker Gladstone and Andrew Hay)
In previous years, it was embarrassing to say you rent. Today, in most cases, it is embarrassing to say you own. According to the US Census Bureau, the U.S. homeownership rate has fallen about 1.5% over the past year (from 66.9% to 65.9%). For every 1% drop in the homeownership rate, it represents approximately 1 million new renters entering the rental market.
In some cases, homeownership rates have fallen below some European countries. Italy for example, has an 84% homeownership rate. Along with Spain with a 78% homeownership rate.
High unemployment rates, difficulty in getting financing, changing demographics and increased foreclosure rates are adding to the deceleration of homeownership. In 2011, there was a 4% increase in the amount of renting households compared to 2010.
In the United States, homeownership is the least in states like California (56%), New York (54%) and Washington at (64%). States with the highest homeownership rates are Michigan (75%), Mississippi (75%), South Carolina (75%) and West Virginia at (79%).
Rental vacancy rates dropped to 5.6 percent in the third quarter of 2011, down from their record high of 8 percent in 2009, according to Reis Inc. This increase in rental demand is putting upward pressure on rental prices throughout the United States. As more foreclosures and new apartment buildings enter the market, the rental rates should stabilize and reach equilibrium.
Renting is the new buying and this trend doesn’t seem to be slowing down anytime soon.
RentBits, Rental Property Search
The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage dropped to the lowest since records have been kept, creating a tempting target for people to refinance their homes.
Freddie Mac said Thursday the average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage hit 3.87 percent, down from 3.98 percent the prior week. That’s below the previous record of 3.88 hit two weeks ago.
The average on the 15-year fixed mortgage fell to 3.14 percent, also a record low. Records for mortgage rates
date back to the 1950s.
Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which fell below 1.9 percent this week.
Mortgage rates have hovered near 4 percent for the past three months, and have perhaps contributed to a slight improvement in the housing market. But many homeowners remain underwater and the pipeline of foreclosures continues to be huge, putting heavy pressure on housing prices.
High unemployment and scant wage gains have made it harder for many people to qualify for loans. Many don’t want to sink money into a home that they fear could lose value over the next few years.
Sales of previously occupied homes were dismal last year. New-home sales in 2011 were the worst on records going back half a century.
Builders are hopeful that the low rates could boost sales next year. But so far, they have had a minimal impact.
Mortgage applications have risen slightly over the past four weeks, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. But they are coming off extremely low levels.
To calculate the average rates, Freddie Mac surveys lenders across the country Monday through Wednesday of each week.
The average rates don’t include extra fees, known as points, which most borrowers must pay to get the lowest rates. One point equals 1 percent of the loan amount.
The average fee for the 30-year loan rose to 0.8 from 0.7; the average on the 15-year fixed mortgage was unchanged at 0.8.
For the five-year adjustable loan, the average rate fell to 2.80 percent from 2.85 percent. The average on the one-year adjustable loan rose to 2.76 percent from 2.74 percent.
The average fee on the five-year adjustable loan rose was unchanged at 0.7; the average on the one-year adjustable
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Since the market downturn several years ago lawmakers in Washington have been talking about reforming the secondary mortgage market but nothing has come out of Congress yet. This year, though, a lot of progress is expected to be made toward reform, so it will be especially important for real estate brokers and sales associates to stay engaged in what’s happening, particularly this spring.
Although we’re still waiting for legislation to come out, lawmakers have been working on the issue quite a bit. Four bills have been introduced that would take a comprehensive approach to reform, including a bill by Rep. Gary Miller (R-Calif.) that very closely matches up with NAR’s priority, which is to encourage private investors to return to the secondary market while replacing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with an entity that continues to back conforming loans but as a nonprofit, not as a for-profit company.
NAR wants the federal government to keep a presence in the market out of a concern that mortgages remain available and affordable even in bad markets, when it’s too risky or not profitable enough for purely private participants to be counted on.
Sen. Johnny Isakson (R-Ga.) also has a bill out that matches up with NAR aims in many respects, and the association is working with the senator and his staff to refine his approach this spring. In a key point about his bill, it would define conforming loans as those that are based on sound underwriting, not on the amount of downpayment.
That’s important, because banking regulators have drafted Wall Street reform rules that would define conforming loans—what they call qualified residential mortgages (QRM)—as those that meet minimum downpayment requirements and other standards. NAR and others have been vocal about how bad that would be for the market, and the Isakson bill would address that.
In addition to these and a couple of other comprehensive reform bills, lawmakers have introduced 19 other bills that look at specific aspects of reform. NAR has never come out in support of any of these single-issue bills because it wants reform to be comprehensive, not piecemeal. All of the aims of these many bills will get looked at and, as NAR would like to see it, folded into a comprehensive bill where that makes sense.
So, a lot will be going on in the next few months, and NAR members can expct to hear more shortly. But whether all of this activity results in a single bill for a vote this year is uncertain. For one thing, starting around summer lawmakers will begin focusing on the upcoming national elections, so that could mean putting off a big vote like this until 2013, when the dust from the elections has settled.
But that’s all the more reason NAR members have to be engaged now. Because even if legislation takes until 2013 to pass, key decisions could be made in the next few months.
You can learn more about what to expect on reform in the 6-minute video with NAR analyst Tony Hutchinson.
A majority of Americans recently surveyed say now is a good time to buy a home. That’s no surprise, given that record-low mortgage interest rates and bargain home prices are boosting affordability.
But selling a home? That’s a different story. According to 71% of the 1,000 people surveyed by Fannie Mae in December, now is a good time to buy a house. But only 11% think it’s a good time to sell.
That’s because sellers sense that even if the housing market and the economy continue to show signs of improvement in 2012, the good news likely won’t be good enough for buyers to return to the market in droves—even if they can buy a home for a steal.
“For people to start buying in larger volume, they need to see home prices go up a bit,” says Ingo Winzer, president of Local Market Monitor, a firm that analyzes housing markets for bankers.
Many potential buyers also are waiting to see the jobs picture improve, which will give them confidence in the stability of their own employment, Mr. Winzer says.
Improvements Ahead
Still, various forecasts and surveys suggest better times for the housing market this year:
Sales of existing homes are expected to grow between 2% and 5% in 2012, according a recent forecast from Freddie Mac.
A recent survey of about 1,000 Re/Max real-estate agents found that 39% of agents think prices have hit bottom in their market, while almost 75% think home prices in their markets will have stopped declining by the end of 2012.
The number of improving housing markets rose to 76 in January, from 41 in December, according to the Improving Markets Index, from First American Financial Corp. and the National Association of Home Builders.
Nationwide, home prices are expected to be relatively flat in 2012, says Alex Villacorta, director of research and analytics at Clear Capital, a provider of real-estate asset-valuation data for financial-services companies. Indeed, 2012 seems to be a turning point before a healthier and sustained recovery in 2013, he says.
If You Can Hold Out
While now still may not be the perfect time to sell a home, it may be time for home sellers to get their places ready for a sale next year.
Of course, markets vary. Prices already are on the rise in some places, including parts of Florida, Washington, D.C., and Dayton, Ohio, Mr. Villacorta says.
But other markets—including Chicago, Atlanta, Detroit and Las Vegas—continue to be on a “downward slide,” according to a December report from Realtor.com.
Either way, holding out until next year could mean a quicker and more profitable sale.
“From a seller’s point of view, it’s still a little early, though tempting, to put the house up for sale and expect a lot of demand,” Mr. Villacorta says. “Unless there are circumstances that dictate they have to sell now, certainly waiting and tracking the markets a little bit more would be a more prudent thing to do.”
Still, some sellers have delayed their moving decisions for years now. For those champing at the bit to make a sale and move on with their lives, 2012 may offer glimmers of hope.
“There are a lot of people over the last few years that decided to put their life on hold,” says Budge Huskey, president of real-estate brokerage Coldwell Banker. Some now are saying, ‘I’ve waited long enough. I can’t put life on hold forever,’ ” Mr. Huskey says.
The market is finally nearing the point where people who don’t need to sell for financial reasons are starting to consider a move for lifestyle-related reasons, he says, such as a growing family that would be more comfortable in a larger home.
The good news for them: Inventory plunged to a 6.2-month supply in December, from a 12.4 month supply in July 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors. That means there are fewer sellers competing for buyers. (The month-supply figure is how long it would take to sell all the homes on the market now based on the current rate of sales per month. The higher the number, the more sellers there are looking for buyers.)
If You Can’t Wait
If you plan to sell a home this year, get the house in the best possible condition and price it to sell before it hits the market, Mr. Huskey says.
An appealing online listing, complete with quality photographs, is also crucial to bring traffic to your home.
“The buyer has the opportunity to prescreen all the homes online and see only the few that really shine online,” Mr. Huskey says, so a seller should do everything he or she can to get on a buyer’s shortlist of homes to physically visit.
Write to Amy Hoak at amy.hoak@dowjones.com
Amy Hoak is a reporter for MarketWatch. Read more at marketwatch.com.
By Ronald D. Orol, MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Matt Martin, CEO of Matt Martin Real Estate Management, is eagerly awaiting the introduction of a program that the Obama administration hopes will transform foreclosed properties into rehabilitated rental units and kick-start the economy.
He says he’s not alone. “There is a large chunk of capital, billions of dollars, sitting on the sidelines waiting to see what kind of program the government comes up with,” Martin said.
At issue is a Federal Housing Finance Agency push to develop a program that is expected to use government financing or guarantees to attract investors to buy up big regional or national pools of foreclosed properties currently owned by government seized housing giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The plan would be to convert these properties into rentals, a market that has strengthened recently. See story from August on foreclosure-to-rental program
Some analysts say President Barack Obama may discuss the initiative at his State of the Union Tuesday, with a focus on how to convert empty homes into productive engines of the economy. Read State of Union preview.
So far, the FHFA has received over 4,000 comments on how it should go about developing the program from a wide variety of groups including Martin and investors such as Fortress Investment Group FIG -0.14% , Chelsea Investment Corp. and the Association of Mortgage Investors.
The FHFA noted that most respondents suggested strategies that involved renting properties for some time. The agency added that many respondents “demonstrated their technical and financial capability to engage in large-scale transactions” with Fannie, Freddie and FHA.
The number of foreclosed properties is big and growing. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac as well as the Federal Housing Administration currently have about 200,000 foreclosed properties on their books. However, Bank of America Merrill Lynch predicts that Fannie, Freddie and FHA will need to sell 3.4 million foreclosed properties in the future. Banks also have thousands of foreclosures on their books, and regulators are seeking to ease efforts to rent those out.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says that as of the end of the second quarter of 2011, there were 2 million vacant homes for sale, with about 500,000 units owned by banks or the two mortgage giants.
Most observers agree that a big enough program to make a difference and bring in sufficient investors will require “seller financing” provided by or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Regulators are working on the details and expected to release at least a pilot program shortly.
Proponents of the effort say that a strong program could transform blighted neighborhoods, boost the price of homes and stimulate the economy. However, even they agree that it will take time, and it is unclear whether policymakers can create enough incentives to entice investors to participate on a large scale.
Ralph Axel, analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch in New York, said the effort will not have an impact on the economy unless policymakers are successful at making it work on a grand scale.
“There are a lot of foreclosures hitting the market in the coming years, and if they can take this foreclosure supply and remove it from stagnant inventory it will help in a lot of ways, such as improving home prices overall,” Axel said.
Separately, the Federal Reserve is making a push to encourage banks to rent out foreclosed properties they own. Existing statutes and regulations do not prohibit financial institutions from renting out their foreclosed properties, but regulators encourage sales instead of rentals. To counter that, Bernanke recently said the agency may soon provide guidance that could encourage rentals of foreclosed properties. Read more on Fed’s housing white paper.
Meanwhile, numerous approaches to entice investors are under consideration for Fannie- and Freddie-owned vacant homes. One approach Axel argues regulators could consider is to have Fannie and Freddie make a loan to investors to buy and rehabilitate foreclosed properties.
Another strategy could be to have banks make loans to investors and have Fannie and Freddie guarantee those loans so that if the investors fail the banks don’t take the hit, Fannie and Freddie do. In this scenario, Axel envisions that investors will put up at least 20% of the investment cost on the property.
The properties could later be sold, after a minimum multi-year rental period, with investors potentially sharing profits with Fannie and Freddie or the government to compensate for the financing guarantee, Axel added.
Property management firms are chomping at the bit to manage new rentals picked up by investors. Rick Sharga, executive vice president of Carrington Mortgage Services, said the Santa Ana Calif.-based firm is raising money to buy foreclosed properties from Fannie and Freddie and convert them into investor-owned properties.
Currently, Carrington manages property, runs a field service group that conducts repairs and rehabilitates properties and manages rental units for about 3,000 tenants, many of whom happen to be renters in foreclosed properties owned by Fannie and Freddie. This experience, he adds, situates Carrington to manage rentals in a new program.
He said there is a delicate formula that will attract investors to buy and rehab properties. That said, he agrees that there is lots of cash on the sidelines waiting to get back in.
“You have to have adequate rental cash flow to deliver returns for investors every year, even though they are banking on long-term profit from home-price appreciation,” Sharga said.
While selling off foreclosed properties is one of Matt Martin Real Estate’s specialties, the Arlington, Va.-based firm also conducts property due diligences and manages rental units. Last year, Matt Martin sold 12,000 foreclosed homes owned by the FHA and this year he expects to sell at least 15,000.
Martin noted that there are many complications that could throw a wrench in the works. He said that many of the foreclosed properties are tied up in mortgage-backed securities, and any efforts to rent them out instead of selling them would need the approval of the trust.
Having big banks rent properties raises other problems, Martin said. Banks may struggle with the additional liabilities or risks associated with being a landlord, Martin noted. He said that even if regulators provide guidance to convince banks it’s acceptable to rent foreclosed properties they own, the institutions will have other issues.
“Does a bank want the reputational risk of turning into a landlord? Does a large servicer want that? It won’t look good if the heater goes out and dog dies,” Martin said.
The housing sector will likely take incremental steps forward in 2012, though total originations will fall on fewer refinances, according to economists at Fannie Mae.
The second half of the year should outpace the first six months in terms of growth, though fiscal policy and political uncertainty in Washington will likely drive consumer and business activity, the mortgage giant said.
Chief Economist Doug Duncan said positive consumer activity and challenges in housing and the global economy will equate to moderate growth for the year.
“We’re entering 2012 with decent momentum, especially on the employment side, which is fostering positive household and consumer behavior,” Duncan said in a release. “Unfortunately, we expect this momentum to slow as we move through the first half of the year.”
The report released Friday forecast total home sales to increase 3.5% to about 4.74 million in 2012 from 2011 with another 5% gain in 2013 to nearly 5 million. New home sales could jump 10.4% for 2012.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency home sales price index, excluding refinances, could dip 1.1% for 2012 from a year before, according to the forecast. Economists predicted the 2011 index would finish 4.6% lower than 2010.
Mortgage originations as dollar volume could see a decline as well in 2012, largely on a steep drop in refinances. The Fannie report said total originations will fall to $1.01 trillion in 2012 from a predicted final 2011 tally of $1.36 trillion. Economists expected refinancing to plummet to $540 billion from $894 billion.
Purchase mortgages, however, will rise to $471 billion in 2012 from a estimated 2011 total of $464, according to the report.
Total single-family outstanding mortgage debt will likely drop 1.3% to $10.14 trillion in 2012.
For the U.S. economy as a whole, Fannie researchers predicted real GDP would increase 3.3% in the fourth quarter to finish the year at 1.7% growth. Economists forecast 2.3% GDP growth for 2012 and 2013.
Write to Andrew Scoggin.
Follow him on Twitter @ascoggin.
Freddie Mac recently released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey®, showing mortgage rates easing to new all-time record lows for all products covered in the survey helping to keep homebuyer affordability high. The average for the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has been below 4.00 percent for six consecutive weeks.
The survey concluded that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.89 percent, with an average 0.7 point for the week ending January 12, 2012, down from last week when it averaged 3.91 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.71 percent.
The 15-year FRM this week averaged 3.16 percent with an average 0.8 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.23 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.08 percent.
Additionally, the 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 2.82 percent this week, with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.86 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 3.72 percent.
Results showed that the 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 2.76 percent this week with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 2.80 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 3.23 percent.
“Mortgage rates eased slightly this week to all-time record lows following mixed indicators in the labor market,” says Frank Nothaft, the vice president and chief economist of Freddie Mac. “Although the economy added 1.6 million jobs in 2011, which was the most since 2006, the unemployment rate remained historically elevated.”
For more information, visit www.freddiemac.com
The Market for Residential Property Management today…. Executive Home Rentals
It has been well-documented that there is a shift in the marketplace from home ownership to simply renting. For the renter, the limited commitment to a specific location and the losses that many have experienced as prior homeowners has caused a national shift in how individuals look at the investment in home ownership. There has been an increasing demand for rental properties and rental rates have experienced a 5% per year growth rate over the last few years.
In addition to these changes in behavior, large players in the housing market have identifi ed this trend and are actively working to provide more opportunities for investors to tap into the rental real estate market. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is working with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae on an REO Rental Program and Bank of America recently announced that they are developing a similar program to sell foreclosure properties to investors for the purpose of having those properties rented. Residential property management and single family property rentals are
amongst some of the fastest growing real estate opportunities in America. Record numbers of defaults, foreclosures, residential downsizing, and family consolidations have created a huge demand for innovative Property Management services.
In 2011 Executive Home Rentals (EHR) brought innovation to the field of real estate. You’ve probably heard about their unique “Lease Your Listing Program,” designed to save homeowners, renters, real estate investors, and real estate agents time and money…well they have taken this concept to a whole new level. Combining there team’s 30+ years of property management and franchising expertise, this past December, they launched a franchise system that caters specifi cally to individuals with a real estate licenses or background. is exciting franchising opportunity gives individuals the training and support for greater probability of success, features an affordable start-up price, plus the ability to open for business in approximately 60 days.
EHR has developed a complete property management solution whereby it provides its franchisees with a turnkey
operation, from the collection of tenant rent amounts via EFT, to preparing reconciliations for each property owner’s invoice monthly, and remitting payment monthly back to all the property owners. Franchisor and selected approved vendors provides services to the entire system. Understanding that maintenance of the property represents a large portion of the time spent by all property management companies , EHR has contracted with a national maintenance service company to provide 24/7 support and coordinate repairs and maintenance on behalf of property owners and there franchisees. By the Franchisor effectively managing the flow of funds and the maintenance management, franchisees can focus their time of leasing new properties to tenants and contracting with new property owners for their inventory.
If being in business for yourself but not by yourself and utilizing a turn-key business model sounds like something
you’re interested in, then you owe it to yourself to learn more now. They have 24 Colorado franchise territories to award, to individuals that want to get in on the action of this rapidly growing home rental market.
Feel free to contact Jon Rivera President of Executive Home Rentals at info@homesirent.com or at 303.988.9999, with questions or comments.
Residential real estate is not rocket science. We know that this housing crisis is:
1. Explainable – bad lending, mad speculation, wild expectations, government meddling
2. Isolated – bad mortgages, negative equity, strategic default, government meddling
3. Temporary – demand for housing always catches up to supply eventually
Anyone with any experience and perspective will agree that this market will recover over the next 10 years, but what will this particular recovery look like? Since the root of the problem was unprecedented, the solution might be as well.
My belief is that renters are going to solve the housing crisis.
Home ownership rates have fallen by a few percentage points, which has translated into more than four million new rental households in just the past few years. According to the Census, 1.4 million of those were added between July 2010 and June 2011, showing that this trend is accelerating.
As a result, rental rates are growing at more than 5% per year, and this trend is also accelerating.
As a result of this, investors are pouring capital into American housing with a long-term mindset, kicking this trend into hyperspeed.
This crisis will not be solved by enticing home buyers. Their confidence is waiting for unemployment to come down and government to act responsibly, which could take a while.
But investors are confident right now. Why? Because they see the big picture. Rental demand equals stable cash flow. So what can be done to encourage them?
How about eliminating archaic waiting periods for investors who want to buy foreclosures? How about eliminating waiting periods for investors who paid cash and want to tap it with a refinance? Today they have to wait months to put that money back to work. Why not eliminate the overall bias against investors in FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and require big down payments to make it safe to lend, and lend.
Better yet, keep your eyes peeled for a private sector player to seize this opportunity to create America’s first national investor mortgage brand. The estimates are that half a million investor loans close every year, and who owns that niche? No one.
The Martial Arts teach you how to use the weight and momentum of your opponent against them (or so they say in the movies). This is the same thing. This drastic increase in rental demand is a by-product of the foreclosure crisis. Use it against the crisis by turning it into positive cash flow investments for those willing to be confident and take a risk in this environment.
Burn off that shadow inventory and create housing options for newly minted renters, which will, in turn, stabilize rental rates, and everybody wins. Good credit renters and buy-hold investors will be the heroes at the end of this saga.
Greg Rand is CEO of OwnAmerica.com and former managing partner of Better Homes and Gardens Rand Realty.
After half a decade of withering sales and slumping prices, there are strong and diverse signs that the single-family housing market is poised for a rebound. In some metropolitan areas, the market has bottomed, with both sales and prices on the rise and foreclosures on the decline.
Industry analysts and players cite a number of reasons – some traditional (employment), others unique to the post-credit bubble era (foreclosures) Â - for the long-awaited sea change. An analysis of industry and government data also support the forecast.
Proponents admit that the nascent rebound could easily be derailed, but stress that after years of government efforts to support sales and prices as well as the volatile impact of foreclosures, the market has regained a measure of normalcy.
“With the exception of really hard-hit markets, the vast majority is ready to turn around,” adds Jerry Howard, president and CEO of the National Association of Home Builders, NAHB. “The Washington, D.C., area is not only ripe for recovery, they need to start building units.”
Nevertheless, skeptics overwhelmingly outnumber the optimists, given the false-starts of previous years, the economy’s sub-par performance, a new wave of distressed properties and the capacity for the European debt crisis to spook business, consumers and investors.
“I think it’s premature,” says Richard Smith, CEO of Realogy, the nation’s largest real estate company, whose brands include Century 21, Coldwell Banker and Sotheby’s International. “We see little indications here and there. Transaction volume is improving. Prices are still under pressure. This isn’t going to be one of those spiked robust recoveries.”
Smith is echoing the conventional industry calculus: that price increases follow sales growth amid consistently strengthening demand.
There’s been little conventional, however, about this housing slump, which is one reason it’s had so many false bottoms. Among its many firsts – housing starts fell through 1 million annual units, foreclosures topped 2 million in three consecutive years, and home prices declined on a national basis.
The catalysts to recovery are mostly the same: for potential buyers, residential rents have now risen enough to consider buying; existing-home inventory is the lowest in five years, while that of new homes is at a 40-year low; affordability is at a record high; delinquencies have peaked;consumer confidence is on the rise ; and job growth is accelerating.
For investors, with a continuation of the gold rally in question, real estate is beginning to look like a viable inflation hedge alternative, while rising rents mean greater profits.
That thinking may help explain why the iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction Index Fund(NYSE Arca: itb), a broad barometer for the housing market, is up some 38 percent from the stock market’s October bottom, while the S&P 500 is up about 21 percent.
Finally, there’s the intangible fatigue with bad news, and a desire to end the negative feedback loop.
“We believe there is sizable housing demand that could be released into the market,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, NAR.
The NAR is forecasting existing home sales will rise 5 percent in both 2012 and 2013; prices will edge up 2 percent in each of those two years, then 4 percent in 2014.
The NAHB is forecasting a 5.1-percent increase in new home sales and a 10-percent increase for new home starts in 2012.
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